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BP profits nearly quadruple to record on Middle East conflict

Summarised from 10 outlets · 12 reports · Updated 30 Oct, 14:52 · Archive

BP's third-quarter underlying replacement cost profit jumped to $8.46 billion from $2.2 billion a year ago, driven by higher refining margins and energy prices.

BP reported third-quarter underlying replacement cost profit of $8.46 billion, nearly four times the $2.2 billion recorded a year earlier. The result surpassed analyst expectations of between $5.44 billion and $7.33 billion, depending on the forecasting body.

The profit surge reflects significantly higher realised refining margins and gains from gas and marketing trading, according to BP. The company's operating cash flow reached $28.55 billion across the first nine months of 2026, compared with $16.89 billion in the same period of 2025. Net debt fell to $13.87 billion from $26.05 billion.

The Middle East conflict has caused severe disruption to global fuel supplies. Refinery outages and damage in the Gulf region and Russia have pushed fuel prices to near or all-time highs in the UK, Europe and the US, even as crude oil prices remain below 2022 crisis levels. The Strait of Hormuz shipping route has been closed.

BP chief executive Meg O'Neill said in a statement: 'These are dynamic times with volatility and disruption to trade flows continuing to define energy markets. The industry as a whole has been showing remarkable adaptability. Refineries have been running close to capacity to make up for shortfalls, shipping has been taking different and longer routes, and releases from strategic and commercial reserves are helping to bridge supply gaps.'

BP reported $5 billion in writedowns on its renewable energy business and slashed planned transition capital expenditure by more than $5 billion annually to a target of up to $2 billion. The company is using surplus cash to reduce debt and address liabilities from the 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil spill. It also put North Sea assets and its US biogas business up for sale.

Environmental groups condemned the results. Campaign group Global Witness claimed BP's profits bring Europe's six largest oil firms' earnings to $89 billion in 2026 so far. Jonathan Noronha-Gant from Global Witness said the profits were obscene given that ordinary people across Europe struggle with rising living costs and heating bills as winter approaches. Tessa Khan, executive director of anti-fossil fuel group Uplift, said millions worry about staying warm while companies 'laugh all the way to the bank'. Shell reported rival profits of between $10.81 billion and $12.1 billion, depending on the measure, a day before BP's announcement.

BP profits nearly quadruple to record on Middle East conflict
Image: The Mirror

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In this story: BP · Meg O'Neill · Shell · Global Witness · Middle East · Strait of Hormuz

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