One Nation support in Victoria shows signs of falling, poll indicates

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 2 Nov, 06:02 · Archive

Internal polling by the Greens suggests One Nation's support in Victoria may be declining as the state election approaches. The Greens surveyed 1,488 eligible Victorian voters between 14 and 26 October, with a margin of error of 3 per cent. The poll put One Nation at 14 per cent of the primary vote, six percentage points below Newspoll's figure of 20 per cent published on Monday.

The two-party-preferred result in the Greens' polling was 54–46, remarkably close to Newspoll's 55–45, with little difference between the polls on the major parties and the Greens themselves. The biggest discrepancy was One Nation. The Greens' polling had the Coalition's primary vote at 32 per cent, Labour's at 25 per cent and the Greens at 15 per cent, compared to Newspoll's figures of 33, 24 and 14 per cent respectively. The figures were consistent when respondents were asked about their preference for the upper house.

This week, opposition leader Jess Wilson made her first public criticism of Pauline Hanson's party, suggesting the political landscape in Victoria may be shifting ahead of the election.

How it is being reported

• Surging One Nation vote could mean new 'political reality' in Labor's Illawarra fortress: MPs'The reality is if we lose government, which is definitely possible, that we will lose to One Nation.'Illawarra Mercury · 2 Nov, 05:30
• Is One Nation losing steam in Victoria? New poll points to possible shift as election nearsExclusive: Internal polling by Greens shows progressives ahead of Hanson’s party, as Sandell and Pickering to join Wilson and Carroll at leaders’ debate Get our daily political email , free app or daily news podcast Two things happened this week to suggest the One Nation surge in Victoria may be losing steam. First, the opposition leader, Jess Wilson, made her first public criticism of Pauline Hanson’s party. Then, the Greens shared with Guardian Australia internal polling that shows its statewide primary vote above One Nation’s. Continue reading...Guardian Australia · 31 Oct, 19:00

In this story: One Nation · Pauline Hanson · Jess Wilson · Victoria · Greens · Coalition · Labour

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