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Israelis vote in record numbers as election shows no clear winner

Summarised from 16 outlets · 30 reports · Updated 27 Oct, 21:03 · Archive

Israel's election saw record turnout but exit polls show neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot will secure a majority.

Israelis went to the polls on Tuesday, October 27, in the first national election since the Hamas-led attacks of October 7, 2023. Voter turnout surged to over 74 per cent, marking the highest level since the early 1980s according to Israel's Central Elections Committee, with 70.63 per cent turnout recorded in the previous election in 2022.

Exit polls released by Israeli television networks after voting closed at 10pm local time showed no clear winner. Netanyahu's Likud party was projected to win between 24 and 25 seats, whilst his broader right-wing and religious coalition was forecast to secure around 50 seats. Opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party was predicted to win between 21 and 23 seats, with his broader opposition bloc projected to win 52 or 53 seats. Arab parties were expected to win between 17 and 18 seats. Sixty-one seats are required to form a government majority.

Netanyahu's Likud party emerged as the largest single party despite the projection that his governing coalition would fall short of a majority. However, the opposition bloc appeared positioned to control more seats overall. The Central Election Committee rejected a request from Netanyahu's Likud party to extend voting hours beyond 10pm, stating that current circumstances did not justify an extension.

The election was widely described as a referendum on Netanyahu's leadership following the October 7 attacks. In the three years since those attacks, Netanyahu has overseen military operations in Gaza that have killed at least 75,000 people, expanded settlements in the occupied West Bank, and led Israel into regional conflicts in which tens of thousands of others have died in Lebanon and with Iran. Netanyahu is currently facing three corruption cases. He is 76 or 77 years old, depending on the source.

Eisenkot, a former chief of the Israel Defence Forces, founded the Yashar party—meaning 'straight' or 'honest'—last year. He served in Netanyahu's cabinet until resigning in 2024 over the prime minister's handling of the Gaza war. He has criticised Netanyahu for the security failures that preceded October 7 and positioned himself as offering a change in direction.

Beforehand, the election drew international attention. United States President Donald Trump issued a statement of 'complete and total' support for Netanyahu, describing him as 'strong, brave and brilliant' and warning that if Israel chose a different leader, America would have to address the Iran threat itself. However, prediction markets showed 60 per cent of bettors backing Eisenkot to become the next premier, compared with 27 per cent for Netanyahu.

The prospect of no clear winner sets the stage for weeks or potentially months of political negotiations. If no coalition can be formed, Netanyahu will remain as caretaker prime minister whilst parties attempt to reach an agreement. Israel's president will then invite the party leader deemed most likely to succeed in forming a governing coalition. Preliminary results are expected on Wednesday, with the official results due to be published on November 4. Arab parties, particularly Ra'am, may find themselves in a kingmaker position, though both major blocs have historically been reluctant to work with them.

Israelis vote in record numbers as election shows no clear winner
Image: Independent World

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In this story: Benjamin Netanyahu · Gadi Eisenkot · Israel · Likud · Yashar · Knesset · Gaza · Hamas

This summary was written by AI from the headlines and standfirsts above, and states as fact only what at least two outlets report. How we use AI · Report a problem · Corrections log