Labour projected to hold four of Cumbria's five seats

Summarised from 4 outlets · Updated 18 Oct, 05:58 · Archive

An Electoral Calculus poll projects Labour would hold four of Cumbria's five parliamentary seats if a general election were held now.

An Electoral Calculus MRP poll, based on interviews with 6,699 adults across Great Britain, projects Labour would hold four of Cumbria's five parliamentary seats if a general election were held now. The Liberal Democrats would retain Westmorland and Lonsdale. Labour is projected to win Barrow and Furness, Carlisle, Penrith and Solway, and Whitehaven and Workington.

Whitehaven and Workington is forecast to be Labour's strongest seat in the county, with 47.1 per cent of the vote, ahead of Reform UK on 35.5 per cent. In Carlisle, Labour leads on 34.4 per cent, with Reform second on 27.6 per cent and the Conservatives on 18.5 per cent. Labour is projected to stay ahead in Penrith and Solway, polling 35.3 per cent against Reform's 23.3 per cent and the Conservatives' 21.5 per cent. Barrow and Furness is forecast to remain Labour with 35.1 per cent, followed by Reform on 28.3 per cent.

Westmorland and Lonsdale remains a Liberal Democrat stronghold in the projections. The Liberal Democrats are forecast to win 39.8 per cent of the vote, ahead of Reform on 19.2 per cent and the Conservatives on 19 per cent.

The polling suggests Reform has become Labour's principal challenger across much of Cumbria, overtaking the Conservatives in several seats. Nationally, the modelling puts Labour on 28 per cent, ahead of Reform UK on 21 per cent, with the Conservatives on 18 per cent. Labour is projected to win 353 seats, giving the party a Commons majority of 56. Reform would win 81 seats, the Conservatives 90, the Liberal Democrats 70, the SNP 28, Plaid Cymru five and the Greens four.

Labour projected to hold four of Cumbria's five seats — Image: Westmorland Gazette

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How it is being reported

Labour projected to hold four of Cumbria’s five seatsLabour would retain four of Cumbria's five parliamentary seats if a general election were held now, according to a new major poll and constituency-level analysis.Westmorland Gazette · 18 Oct, 05:00
Labour projected to hold four of Cumbria’s five seatsLabour would retain four of Cumbria's five parliamentary seats if a general election were held now, according to a new major poll and constituency-level analysis.Whitehaven News · 18 Oct, 05:00
Labour projected to hold four of Cumbria’s five seatsLabour would retain four of Cumbria's five parliamentary seats if a general election were held now, according to a new major poll and constituency-level analysis.NW Evening Mail · 18 Oct, 05:00
Labour projected to hold four of Cumbria’s five seatsLabour would retain four of Cumbria's five parliamentary seats if a general election were held now, according to a new major poll and constituency-level analysis.Cumberland News · 18 Oct, 05:00

In this story: Labour · Reform UK · Conservative Party · Liberal Democrats · Cumbria · Electoral Calculus

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