Labour set for outright majority, overtaking Reform in new poll

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 16 Oct, 12:02 · Archive

An MRP poll predicts Labour will win 353 seats nationally and secure a working majority at the next general election.

A new MRP poll predicts Labour will win 353 seats nationally, giving it a majority of 56 at the next general election. The poll, commissioned by communications agency PLMR, shows Labour overtaking Reform UK, which has fallen from being level with Labour on 22 per cent of the vote in July. Labour is now projected to secure 28 per cent nationally, whilst Reform has fallen to 21 per cent. The Conservatives are on 18 per cent.

Across the West Midlands region—covering Birmingham, the Black Country, Solihull, Coventry, Warwickshire and Worcestershire—the poll predicts Labour would win 23 of the 39 parliamentary seats. Reform, previously forecast to win 35 seats in the region, is now predicted to take just seven. The Conservatives would win seven seats, with the Liberal Democrats and Greens taking one each. Stratford-on-Avon is predicted to remain Liberal Democrat.

Within the West Midlands itself, Labour has 27 per cent support, ahead of Reform on 25 per cent. Rebecca Langton of PLMR said the result represents a significant change from three months ago, when the race 'looked like a two-horse race between Labour and Reform heading for a hung Parliament', and attributed the shift to 'Andy Burnham's arrival in Downing Street'.

Labour set for outright majority, overtaking Reform in new poll — Image: Stratford Herald

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How it is being reported

Labour could be on track for second term after overtaking Reform in West Mildands pollLabour could be on course to win an overall majority at the next general election, with the party overtaking Reform UK, according to a new poll.Stratford Herald · 16 Oct, 11:44
New poll has Labour leading in the West Midlands and on course for outright majority at next General ElectionLabour is on course to win an outright majority at the next General Election, according to a new MRP poll, with the party’s recovery under Andy Burnham felt across Warwickshire and the wider West Midlands.Leamington Courier · 16 Oct, 10:18

In this story: Labour · Reform UK · Conservative Party · Andy Burnham · West Midlands · Electoral Calculus

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