Polling analyst suggests Trump may quit after midterm defeats

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 6 Nov, 03:51 · Archive

Polling analyst Nate Silver has speculated that President Trump might resign from office following Republican losses in the midterm elections. Speaking on his podcast Still Counting, Silver said he had 'the weird intuition that maybe Trump will find some pretense to quit', describing a scenario where the president could become isolated.

Silver, who correctly predicted that Democrats would regain control of both the House and Senate, noted the changing dynamic between Trump and Vice President JD Vance. Following the elections, Vance issued a statement claiming 'the reason we lost is the [Iran] war', which some observers saw as an attempt to distance himself from Trump. Silver remarked that rivalry between presidents and vice presidents 'used to be a little bit more common' and that this dynamic would be 'interesting' to watch.

Silver's suggestion is highly speculative. Throughout American history, only one president has resigned from office: Richard Nixon in 1974. There is no evidence that Trump is considering resignation, and he has appeared largely unfazed by the election results, which saw Democratic victories in numerous traditionally Republican states.

How it is being reported

• Election Nostradamus Nate Silver says he has sneaking suspicion Trump will quit White House before his term ends… after correctly predicting 'blue tsunami'On his podcast, Still Counting, he laid out an environment where Trump might retire with time left to serve.Daily Mail · 6 Nov, 03:30
• Top polling analyst pushes idea that Trump may just flat out ‘quit’ as president after disastrous midterms‘I had just the weird intuition that maybe Trump will find some pretense to quit,’ Nate Silver saidIndependent World · 5 Nov, 20:57

In this story: Nate Silver · Donald Trump · JD Vance · Richard Nixon · Republican Party · Democratic Party

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