Labour extends poll lead ahead of Budget and 100-day mark
Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 25 Oct, 10:50 · Archive
Two polls show Labour has extended its lead over Conservative and Reform rivals to eight points.
Two polls published this weekend show Andy Burnham's Labour has an eight-point lead over the Conservative and Reform parties. The Ipsos poll puts Labour at 32 per cent, the Conservatives at 24 per cent and Reform at 20 per cent. Opinium shows Labour on 30 per cent, Reform on 22 per cent and the Conservatives on 20 per cent. Ipsos said the eight-point Labour lead was the largest it had recorded this Parliament.
Keiran Pedley, director of politics at Ipsos, said the polls confirm 'a pattern we have been seeing in the underlying data for some time'. He described Labour as 'resurgent, consolidating voters on the left behind them' and noted that 'on the right, the tectonic plates have been shifting recently and now this is reflected in the Conservatives – not Reform UK – being in a clear second place'. He cautioned against over-reading the results. The polls come ahead of a crunch week for the government, with Prime Minister Burnham set to mark his 100 days in office on Tuesday, one day before Chancellor John Healey delivers the Budget.
Pedley warned: 'The government faces a challenging Budget this coming week and the lesson of the last year is that British politics is volatile.' According to Electoral Calculus, the Ipsos results would give Labour a majority of 134 MPs if a general election were held.
How it is being reported
- Reform UK’s support collapses in major boost for Burnham, new poll showsThe latest Ipsos poll would give Andy Burnham a majority for Labour in a general electionThe Independent · 25 Oct, 10:30
- Andy Burnham's 'resurgent' Labour secures poll boost over Reform and Tories ahead of crunch weekAhead of a crunch week for the government, two polls found Andy Burnham's Labour party now has a clear eight-point lead over Conservative and Reform rivalsThe Mirror · 25 Oct, 08:00
In this story: Andy Burnham · Kemi Badenoch · Nigel Farage · John Healey · Labour · Conservative Party · Reform UK · Ipsos
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