BBC Weather rules out early Arctic outbreak this month

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 9 Oct, 13:07 · Archive

BBC Weather forecasts no sign of an early cold Arctic outbreak for the UK, despite El Niño predictions.

BBC Weather has issued a forecast ruling out an early cold Arctic outbreak for the UK in the coming weeks, despite climate concerns about El Niño. The forecasters say that for the period from 19 October to 1 November, conditions will be 'drier than normal' for most areas, particularly in the south, with occasional frontal systems bringing rain to northern regions including Scotland.

Temperatures are expected to be 'close to or a little above normal' overall, with occasional chilly and foggy nights. The Met Office has suggested that El Niño could weaken the polar vortex, potentially leading to Sudden Stratospheric Warming, a process associated with cold snaps such as the 'Beast from the East' in 2018. However, BBC Weather states: 'There is no sign yet of any set up that might lead to a risk of an early cold Arctic outbreak.'

Some snow is possible in parts of Scotland towards the middle of October, with around 5cm forecast over higher ground, though this would not be unusual for the season. This would represent the first major snowfall of the year rather than an indication of wider Arctic conditions spreading across the UK.

How it is being reported

• Will Super El Niño bring ‘a wall of snow’ to the UK? All the claims, fact checkedAmid theThe i Paper · 9 Oct, 12:50
• BBC Weather issues ‘Arctic outbreak’ verdict for UK after two-inch snow forecastExperts at BBC Weather have revealed if Brits could face an 'early cold Arctic outbreak' this month after forecasters warned of El Nino potentially bringing wintry conditionsThe Mirror · 7 Oct, 15:32

In this story: BBC Weather · Met Office · UK · Scotland · El Niño

This summary was written by AI from the headlines and standfirsts above, and states as fact only what at least two outlets report. How we use AI · Report a problem