Labour's lead grows under Burnham, new polling shows

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 30 Oct, 17:22 · Archive

Polling shows Labour has extended its lead over Reform UK and the Conservatives under Andy Burnham's leadership.

Labour's support has experienced a significant shift under Andy Burnham's leadership. A More in Common survey found 42 per cent of the public now think Labour will win the next election, nearly double the 23 per cent recorded a year earlier. The proportion expecting Labour to lose has fallen from 58 per cent to 33 per cent over the same period. Notably, even among Reform voters, belief in a Labour victory has risen from 11 per cent to 26 per cent.

Latest polling from BMG Research, conducted after the Budget, puts Labour at 31 per cent support. This gives the party a nine-point lead over Reform UK on 22 per cent and a ten-point advantage over the Conservatives on 21 per cent. Polling expert Robert Hayward attributed the shift to two factors: the departure of Keir Starmer as prime minister and a positive view of Burnham among Labour voters. Louis O'Geran of More in Common said the turnaround reflects how much Burnham has shifted perceptions of the Labour government, noting that a year ago Labour's election prospects had seemed 'far-fetched to most Britons'.

How it is being reported

• Burnham’s poll bounce grows after £100 giveaway – but benefits danger loomsExclusive polling for The i Paper shows Labour's revival under Burnham continuesThe i Paper · 30 Oct, 17:02
• Boost for Burnham as surge in voters think Labour will win next election, new poll showsExclusive: A year after victory ‘looked far-fetched to most’ people, even Reform voters think Labour would win, new findings showThe Independent · 30 Oct, 12:49

In this story: Andy Burnham · Labour · Reform UK · Keir Starmer · Robert Hayward

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