Coalition heads for Victoria victory after 12 years of Labor

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 25 Oct, 21:19 · Archive

A Newspoll shows Victoria's opposition Coalition leading 55-45 ahead of next month's state election.

Victorian Labor's 12-year reign is on track to end next month, with latest Newspoll figures showing Opposition Leader Jess Wilson's Coalition ahead 55-45 on a two-party-preferred basis. Conducted by Pyxis Polling & Insights for The Australian, the poll shows a fragmented electorate: One Nation is predicted to receive at least 20 per cent of first preferences, Labor 24 per cent, the Greens 14 per cent and the Coalition 33 per cent.

Labor's position weakened after former Premier Jacinta Allan was replaced by deputy leader Ben Carroll in August. Political scientist Zareh Ghazarian said changing leaders before an election does not lead to success. 'They have won three elections in a row and been in power for almost 12 years, and generally parties tend to run out of puff,' he said. He cited historical examples including Steve Bracks's resignation in 2007, which saw John Brumby become premier but fail to win the 2010 election.

How it is being reported

• Newspoll predicts Coalition victory after 12 years of Labor reign in VictoriaThe long-serving government of one Aussie state has been given cause for concern just weeks before its state election.The West Australian · 25 Oct, 20:50
• Newspoll predicts Coalition victory after 12 years of Labor reign in VictoriaThe long-serving government of one Aussie state has been given cause for concern just weeks before its state election.Perth Now · 25 Oct, 20:50

In this story: Jess Wilson · Jacinta Allan · Ben Carroll · Zareh Ghazarian · Victoria · Coalition · Labor · One Nation

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