Victorian election looms with One Nation as unpredictable wildcard

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 25 Oct, 05:31 · Archive

Victorians will vote on 28 November in an election where One Nation could disrupt traditional two-party dominance.

Victorians will vote on 28 November in an election shaping up as unpredictable after 12 years of Labor rule. Campaigning has begun with Premier Ben Carroll launching Labor's campaign bus tour with a $1.5bn package for hospital emergency departments.

Current polling shows Labor, the Coalition and One Nation each on roughly a quarter of first preference votes, with minor parties on the remaining 25 per cent. On two-party preferred basis, the Coalition are firm favourites at 52 to 48. Bookmakers put Labor at $3.80 and the Coalition at $1.40.

Labor currently holds 54 of the lower house seats, down from 56 after one resignation and one expulsion, giving them a nine-seat majority. The Liberals hold 19 seats and the Nationals nine. The Liberals and Nationals need to gain 16 extra seats to form majority government. Labor has never won a fourth consecutive term in Victoria, and One Nation's rise threatens to complicate traditional two-party competition.

How it is being reported

• Victorian election: How to vote in the unpredictable state ballotVictoria is just weeks out from a state election that is shaping up as a wildly unpredictable affair. Here is what you need to know.Perth Now · 25 Oct, 05:02
• Victorian election: How to vote in the unpredictable state ballotVictoria is just weeks out from a state election that is shaping up as a wildly unpredictable affair. Here is what you need to know.The West Australian · 25 Oct, 05:02

In this story: Victoria · One Nation · Ben Carroll · Labor · Coalition · Liberals · Nationals · Greens

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