Democrats heading for midterm blowout, CNN analyst warns

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 26 Oct, 16:57 · Archive

CNN data analyst Harry Enten says polling data suggests Democrats have a 69 to 71 per cent chance of a major victory in the midterm elections.

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten has said polling data indicates Democrats are heading for a major victory in the midterm elections. Speaking on Sunday, more than a week before the elections scheduled for 3 November, Enten said the numbers were pointing toward 'blowout territory' for Republicans.

Enten said he had reviewed thousands of polls and data points. He reported a 69 to 71 per cent chance that Democrats would win at least 230 House seats, and said he expected them to secure a comfortable Senate majority. The predicted number of House seats Democrats could win has increased from 232 in August to 238 in October.

Enten attributed the shift partly to President Trump's declining approval rating. According to Reuters/Ipsos polling averages cited by Enten, Trump's net approval rating had fallen to minus 35 in October. He said the chance of Republicans achieving a House 'blowout' was just 2 per cent.

How it is being reported

• Trump’s favorite CNN pollster warns of a Democratic midterm ‘blowout’Harry Enten noted that the number of House seats predicted to be won by Democrats has increased since AugustIndependent World · 26 Oct, 16:31
• CNN data guru claims midterm elections in 'blowout territory' as Democrats gain in pollsCNN data guru Harry Enten has warned that the midterm elections are heading into 'blowout territory,' with Democrats poised for major gains.Daily Mail · 26 Oct, 01:27

In this story: Harry Enten · CNN · Donald Trump · Democrats · Republicans · Congress

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