Nate Silver predicts Trump era could end after midterm losses

Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 28 Oct, 01:08 · Archive

Polling analyst Nate Silver says heavy Republican losses in next week's midterms could mark the end of the Trump era.

Polling analyst Nate Silver has said the November midterm elections, one week away, could bring down the curtain on the Trump era if results go as polls suggest. He made the comment during an interview with New York Times podcaster Ezra Klein released on Tuesday. "If the election goes roughly as the polls say it will go, then in some ways it would mark the end of the Trump era," Silver said. "But the minute the votes are counted, the 2028 election campaign begins, and if Trump has a bad night, as polls show, then he's a super-lame duck."

Voters are expressing frustration over the cost of living and the ongoing Iran war, with President Trump's approval rating at historic lows. Silver's polling analysis gives Democrats over 90 per cent chance of flipping the House and over 70 per cent chance of regaining control of the Senate.

If that pattern holds, Democrats have vowed to challenge Trump's signature policies and investigate administration officials, potentially pursuing impeachment of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Those efforts could hamper Trump's ability to advance his agenda during his final two years in office. Silver drew an analogy to the 2006 midterms, when Republicans lost control of both the House and Senate amid dissatisfaction with Bush's handling of the Iraq war.

Nate Silver predicts Trump era could end after midterm losses — Image: Daily Mail

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How it is being reported

Election Nostradamus Nate Silver predicts midterms could be 'end of the Trump era' if Republicans lose bigSilver has been bullish on liberals' chances to overtake the GOP in the November 3 elections, with his model giving the party a 94 percent chance of winning the House.Daily Mail · 28 Oct, 00:55
End of the Trump era? Top US polling analyst shares prediction as midterms loom‘If Trump has a bad night, as polls show, then he’s a super-lame duck,’ polling analyst Nate Silver saidIndependent World · 27 Oct, 19:00

In this story: Nate Silver · Donald Trump · Ezra Klein · Pete Hegseth · Democrats · Republicans · United States

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