Trump's inflation promises tested ahead of midterm elections
Summarised from 2 outlets · Updated 26 Oct, 14:19 · Archive
Consumer prices have risen faster than wages over the past year, challenging Trump's economic promises before midterm elections.
President Trump won the 2024 election on promises to lower inflation and reverse what he called damage from the Biden administration. He has argued the economy is now booming and that 'we don't have inflation'. Yet economic data presents a different picture as midterm elections approach.
Inflation has cooled significantly from its 40-year peak of 9.1% in June 2022, dropping to 2.3% by April 2025. However, the Independent reports that over the past 12 months, consumer prices have risen faster than paychecks, making the average family poorer. Fuel costs have surged dramatically: filling a basic Ford F-150 truck now costs about $100, up $30 from a year ago. Mortgage rates have jumped to levels depressing home sales, and diesel prices remain at record highs, driving up shipping and farming costs.
A Harris poll for the Guardian found nearly two-thirds of Americans believe the country is experiencing a recession. Many cite higher prices as a pain point, with a third saying one surprise bill could sink them financially. The Independent reports voters blame Trump's tariff policies and the ongoing war with Iran for higher costs. Republicans face competitive challenges in traditionally conservative states including Iowa, Kansas, Ohio and Texas, where affordability has become a preeminent voting issue.

How it is being reported
- Trump failed to stop inflation. Republicans may pay the price in midterm electionsFor the past 12 months, consumer prices have risen faster than paychecks, making the average family poorerIndependent World · 26 Oct, 13:55
- ‘We don’t have inflation’? Five charts show the US economic reality of Trump’s second term so farAs the US midterm elections approach, we take a look at data to see a true picture of the US economy under Trump With the midterm elections fast approaching, many Americans have the economy on their minds. US voters are exhausted by years of higher prices. Donald Trump won the presidency in 2024 on promises to lower inflation and undo the damage he said the Biden administration had inflicted on the economy. Continue reading...Guardian Business · 26 Oct, 11:00
In this story: Donald Trump · Biden · Democratic Party · Republican Party · United States · Iowa · Kansas · Ohio
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